SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 56.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Rostov had a probability of 19.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Rostov win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lokomotiv Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Rostov |
56.1% ( -0.3) | 24.14% ( 0.09) | 19.76% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 47.93% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.41% ( -0.08) | 52.59% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.76% ( -0.07) | 74.24% ( 0.07) |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.39% ( -0.14) | 18.61% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.1% ( -0.24) | 49.9% ( 0.24) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.89% ( 0.19) | 41.11% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.34% ( 0.17) | 77.65% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Rostov |
| 1-0 @ 12.86% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.81% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.06% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.14% Total : 56.09% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.78% Total : 24.13% | 0-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.08% Total : 19.76% |
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