SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Khimki | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Nizhny Novgorod | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Nizhny Novgorod | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Rostov | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | FC Krasnodar | 2 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 49.68%. A win for Rostov had a probability of 25.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest Rostov win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Rostov |
49.68% ( -1.2) | 25.13% ( 0.17) | 25.19% ( 1.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.63% ( 0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.93% ( 0.14) | 51.06% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.08% ( 0.12) | 72.92% ( -0.13) |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.43% ( -0.44) | 20.56% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.9% ( -0.7) | 53.09% ( 0.7) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.99% ( 0.97) | 35% ( -0.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.25% ( 1) | 71.75% ( -1.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Rostov |
| 1-0 @ 11.38% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 9% ( -0.3)3-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.23)3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.62% Total : 49.68% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.13% | 0-1 @ 7.56% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.07% Total : 25.19% |
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