SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 61.56%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Rostov had a probability of 16.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Rostov win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Rostov |
61.56% ( 0.01) | 21.64% ( -0) | 16.8% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 50.18% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.19% ( 0.01) | 46.81% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.93% ( 0) | 69.07% ( -0) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.32% ( 0.01) | 14.68% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.15% ( 0.01) | 42.85% ( -0.01) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.82% ( -0) | 41.18% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.29% ( -0) | 77.71% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Rostov |
| 1-0 @ 11.59% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.12% 2-1 @ 9.87% 3-0 @ 7.12% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.31% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.41% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.03% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.8% 4-2 @ 1.34% 5-0 @ 1.31% 5-1 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 2.48% Total : 61.54% | 1-1 @ 10.29% 0-0 @ 6.05% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.92% Total : 21.64% | 0-1 @ 5.37% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.57% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.38% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.35% 2-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.84% Total : 16.8% |
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