SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for Rostov had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Rostov win was 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Krylia Sovetov | Draw | Rostov |
43.53% ( -0.06) | 26.74% ( 0.01) | 29.72% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 50.02% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.27% ( -0.03) | 54.73% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.95% ( -0.03) | 76.05% ( 0.03) |
| Krylia Sovetov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.05% ( -0.04) | 24.95% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.41% ( -0.06) | 59.59% ( 0.06) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.65% ( 0.02) | 33.35% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.03% ( 0.02) | 69.97% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Krylia Sovetov | Draw | Rostov |
| 1-0 @ 11.55% 2-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.08% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0)Other @ 2.44% Total : 43.53% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0)Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.74% | 0-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.55% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.84% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.45% Total : 29.72% |
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