SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 52.15%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Orenburg had a probability of 23.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Orenburg win it was 0-1 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rostov would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rostov | Draw | Orenburg |
52.15% ( 0.64) | 24.32% ( -0.22) | 23.53% ( -0.41) |
| Both teams to score 52.37% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.76% ( 0.52) | 49.24% ( -0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.7% ( 0.46) | 71.3% ( -0.46) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.15% ( 0.45) | 18.85% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.69% ( 0.75) | 50.31% ( -0.74) |
| Orenburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.53% ( -0.09) | 35.47% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.77% ( -0.09) | 72.23% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rostov | Draw | Orenburg |
| 1-0 @ 11.15% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 9.31% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.16% Total : 52.14% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 5% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.32% | 0-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.73% 0-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.97% Total : 23.53% |
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