SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 70.39%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Rostov had a probability of 11.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.69%), while for a Rostov win it was 0-1 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Rostov |
70.39% ( 0.77) | 18.27% ( -0.4) | 11.33% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 46.59% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.08% ( 0.77) | 43.92% ( -0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.69% ( 0.75) | 66.31% ( -0.75) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.75% ( 0.43) | 11.25% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.18% ( 0.92) | 35.82% ( -0.92) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.49% ( -0.16) | 47.51% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.13% ( -0.12) | 82.87% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Rostov |
| 2-0 @ 12.75% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 11.67% ( -0.19)2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 3.78% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.11)5-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.56% Total : 70.38% | 1-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.18)2-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.71% Total : 18.27% | 0-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.64% Total : 11.33% |
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