SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Lokomotiv Moscow win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rostov | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
43.95% ( -0) | 25.26% ( 0.01) | 30.79% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 55.24% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.78% ( -0.03) | 48.21% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.63% ( -0.03) | 70.37% ( 0.03) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.08% ( -0.02) | 21.92% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.81% ( -0.02) | 55.19% ( 0.02) |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.75% ( -0.02) | 29.25% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.79% ( -0.02) | 65.21% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rostov | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.08% 2-0 @ 7.39% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.59% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.74% 3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.42% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 2.37% Total : 43.95% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.84% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.99% 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.51% Total : 30.79% |
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