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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19
Jan 28, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
LH

Lorient
3 - 3
Le Havre

Louza (33'), Kari (51'), Bamba (90+2')
Katseris (17'), Le Bris (36'), Ponceau (42'), Louza (45')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sabbi (15' pen.), Ayew (85', 90+4')
Youte Kinkoue (26'), Sabbi (43'), Kechta (48'), Operi (73')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 3-0 Lorient
Sunday, January 14 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Chateauroux 0-1 Le Havre
Sunday, January 21 at 4.30pm in Coupe de France

We said: Lorient 1-2 Le Havre

Lorient have been shipping goals of late, and we can imagine that trend continuing against a Le Havre side who are full of confidence following three-straight victories. The visitors will be fancying their chances of extending their winning streak to four matches on Sunday, and we reckon that Elsner's side will do just that. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
LorientDrawLe Havre
33.09% (0.17400000000001 0.17) 26.29% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 40.62% (-0.196 -0.2)
Both teams to score 52.75% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.17% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)51.83% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.41% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)73.59% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.47% (0.099999999999994 0.1)29.52% (-0.105 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.46% (0.123 0.12)65.54% (-0.128 -0.13)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.85% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)25.14% (0.111 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.14% (-0.158 -0.16)59.85% (0.153 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 33.09%
    Le Havre 40.61%
    Draw 26.28%
LorientDrawLe Havre
1-0 @ 9.06% (0.035 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.63% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.52% (0.037 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.1% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.25% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.14% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.95% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 33.09%
1-1 @ 12.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.42% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.28%
0-1 @ 10.24% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.63% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.08% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.97% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.26% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.42% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.37% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.12% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 40.61%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lille 3-0 Lorient
Sunday, January 14 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Sochaux 2-1 Lorient
Saturday, January 6 at 5pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Brest 4-0 Lorient
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 1-2 Strasbourg
Sunday, December 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 2-4 Marseille
Sunday, December 10 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 1-1 Lorient
Sunday, December 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Chateauroux 0-1 Le Havre
Sunday, January 21 at 4.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Le Havre 3-1 Lyon
Sunday, January 14 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 2-1 Caen
Sunday, January 7 at 1.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Reims 1-0 Le Havre
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 3-1 Nice
Saturday, December 16 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-1 Le Havre
Sunday, December 10 at 2pm in Ligue 1


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