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LA
Major League Soccer
Apr 7, 2024 at 12.45am UK
Banc of California Stadium
LG

Los Angeles
2 - 1
LA Galaxy

Tillman (4'), Bouanga (35' pen.)
Tillman (21'), Cherundolo (22'), Murillo (44'), Hollingshead (61'), Palencia (75')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Aude (29')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colorado 3-2 Los Angeles
Saturday, March 30 at 8pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 1-0 Seattle
Sunday, March 31 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Los Angeles FC 3-2 Los Angeles Galaxy

As inconsistent as LAFC have been throughout the year, it is always easy for them to bring up their intensity when playing their biggest rivals. For as much as the Galaxy have improved this season, they are still unstable on the back end, and we believe that could prove costly on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 59.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 20.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.42%) and 1-0 (7.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Los Angeles Galaxy win it was 1-2 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Los Angeles FC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Los Angeles FC.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
59.41% (0.098999999999997 0.1) 20.47% (-0.055 -0.05) 20.12% (-0.044 -0.04)
Both teams to score 60.59% (0.129 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.89% (0.198 0.2)36.11% (-0.19900000000001 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.79% (0.217 0.22)58.21% (-0.216 -0.22)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.09% (0.089999999999989 0.09)11.91% (-0.09 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.75% (0.188 0.19)37.25% (-0.187 -0.19)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.78% (0.076000000000008 0.08)31.22% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.44% (0.087000000000003 0.09)67.56% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 59.41%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 20.12%
    Draw 20.47%
Los Angeles FCDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.42% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.91% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-1 @ 6.95% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 4.05% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.7% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.18% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.15% (0.018 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.57% (0.015 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.35% (0.011 0.01)
5-2 @ 0.92% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 59.41%
1-1 @ 9.21% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.72% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.57% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 20.47%
1-2 @ 5.36% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.33% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.52% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.21% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.08%
0-3 @ 0.98% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 20.12%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Colorado 3-2 Los Angeles
Saturday, March 30 at 8pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 5-0 Nashville
Sunday, March 24 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 2-0 Los Angeles
Sunday, March 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 0-0 Kansas
Sunday, March 10 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 3-0 Los Angeles
Saturday, March 2 at 9pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 2-1 Seattle
Saturday, February 24 at 9.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 1-0 Seattle
Sunday, March 31 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 2-3 LA Galaxy
Sunday, March 24 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 3-3 St Louis City
Sunday, March 17 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 2-2 LA Galaxy
Sunday, March 10 at 7pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 1-3 LA Galaxy
Sunday, March 3 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 1-1 Inter Miami
Monday, February 26 at 2am in Major League Soccer


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