SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 66.19%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 15.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.69%) and 3-1 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.95%), while for a Los Angeles Galaxy win it was 1-2 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
66.19% ( 1.04) | 18.04% ( -0.46) | 15.77% ( -0.58) |
| Both teams to score 60.69% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68% ( 1.12) | 31.99% ( -1.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.44% ( 1.3) | 53.56% ( -1.3) |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.97% ( 0.54) | 9.03% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.26% ( 1.29) | 30.74% ( -1.3) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.71% ( 0.04) | 33.28% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.1% ( 0.04) | 69.9% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
| 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 8.69% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.12)1-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.26)3-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.16)4-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.1)5-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.14)5-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.12)5-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.08)4-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.04)Other @ 4.16% Total : 66.19% | 1-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.19)3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.29% Total : 18.04% | 1-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.74% Total : 15.77% |
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