SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-0 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
31.33% ( -0.03) | 24.94% | 43.72% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 56.56% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.38% ( -0.01) | 46.62% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.11% ( -0) | 68.89% ( 0.01) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.91% ( -0.02) | 28.1% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.24% ( -0.03) | 63.77% ( 0.03) |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.65% ( 0.01) | 21.35% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.69% ( 0.02) | 54.32% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
| 1-0 @ 7.62% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.46% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.83% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.16% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.05% ( -0)4-1 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.78% Total : 31.34% | 1-1 @ 11.75% 0-0 @ 6% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.93% | 0-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.67% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.68% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.97% 1-4 @ 1.8% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.42% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.54% Total : 43.73% |
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