SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 59.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 20.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.39%) and 1-0 (7.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | St Louis City |
59.25% ( 0.89) | 20.51% ( -0.2) | 20.24% ( -0.69) |
| Both teams to score 60.65% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.88% ( -0.06) | 36.13% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.77% ( -0.07) | 58.24% ( 0.07) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.04% ( 0.23) | 11.96% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.64% ( 0.48) | 37.36% ( -0.48) |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.89% ( -0.68) | 31.12% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.56% ( -0.8) | 67.44% ( 0.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | St Louis City |
| 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.18)1-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 6.93% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.68% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 2.15% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.06)5-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.44% Total : 59.25% | 1-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.27% Total : 20.51% | 1-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 4.35% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.66% Total : 20.24% |
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