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Major League Soccer
Mar 3, 2024 at 3.30am UK
Stanford Stadium
LG

Earthquakes
1 - 3
LA Galaxy

Judd (69')
Akapo (35'), Judd (74')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Paintsil (18'), Joveljic (43'), Puig (48')
Delgado (29'), Brugman (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dallas 2-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, February 25 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 1-1 Inter Miami
Monday, February 26 at 2am in Major League Soccer

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 2-3 Los Angeles Galaxy

LA Galaxy almost secured victory over Inter Miami last time out and this could serve as a springboard for their confidence this season. The visitors also have a good record in their recent visits to San Jose. We think there will be goals galore in the Cali Clasico but Galaxy should edge it in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
47.5% (-0.534 -0.53) 23.85% (0.058999999999997 0.06) 28.65% (0.474 0.47)
Both teams to score 58.73% (0.153 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.94% (0.046999999999997 0.05)43.06% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.54% (0.045999999999999 0.05)65.46% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.7% (-0.191 -0.19)18.3% (0.193 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.62% (-0.328 -0.33)49.38% (0.33 0.33)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.88% (0.35599999999999 0.36)28.12% (-0.353 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.21% (0.449 0.45)63.79% (-0.447 -0.45)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 47.5%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 28.65%
    Draw 23.84%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.74% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)
2-0 @ 7.42% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-1 @ 5.33% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.2% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.26% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.78% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 47.5%
1-1 @ 11.08% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.97% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.15% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.84%
1-2 @ 7.03% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
0-1 @ 6.53% (0.052 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.14% (0.073 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.98% (0.064 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.53% (0.039 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.75% (0.048 0.05)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 28.65%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Dallas 2-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, February 25 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 0-0 Earthquakes (4-2 pen.)
Thursday, October 26 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 1-1 Austin
Sunday, October 22 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 1-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, October 8 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, October 1 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 1-1 Nashville
Sunday, September 24 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 1-1 Inter Miami
Monday, February 26 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 1-4 Dallas
Sunday, October 22 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-2 Salt Lake
Sunday, October 15 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 5-2 LA Galaxy
Sunday, October 8 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 2-1 LA Galaxy
Thursday, October 5 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 3-3 Portland
Sunday, October 1 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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