SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Servette had a probability of 36.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Servette win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lugano | Draw | Servette |
38.07% ( 0.17) | 25.7% ( 0.07) | 36.23% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 55.25% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.14% ( -0.31) | 48.86% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.04% ( -0.29) | 70.96% ( 0.29) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.85% ( -0.05) | 25.15% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.13% ( -0.07) | 59.86% ( 0.07) |
| Servette Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.82% ( -0.28) | 26.18% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.73% ( -0.38) | 61.26% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugano | Draw | Servette |
| 1-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.87% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0)4-0 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.63% Total : 38.07% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.16% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.3% Total : 36.23% |
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