Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Servette had a probability of 37.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.74%) and 2-0 (5.43%). The likeliest Servette win was 1-2 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Lugano	Draw	Servette
39.3% ( -0.62)	23.52% ( 0.03)	37.17% ( 0.58)

Both teams to score 63.27% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.47% (

-0.1)

38.52% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.18% (

-0.11)

60.82% (

0.1)

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.05% (

-0.33)

19.94% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.89% (

-0.53)

52.1% (

0.52)

Servette Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.03% (

0.24)

20.96% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.28% (

0.38)

53.71% (

-0.38)

Score Analysis

Lugano 39.3%

Servette 37.17%

Draw 23.52%

Lugano	Draw	Servette
2-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.14% Total : 39.3%	1-1 @ 10.53% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.63% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.52%	1-2 @ 8.23% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 4.29% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.85% Total : 37.17%