SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 37.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.88%) and 0-2 (5.41%). The likeliest Lugano win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lugano | Draw | St Gallen |
37.83% ( -0.07) | 23.73% ( -0.04) | 38.44% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 62.52% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.48% ( 0.2) | 39.52% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.14% ( 0.21) | 61.86% ( -0.21) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.92% ( 0.06) | 21.08% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.11% ( 0.09) | 53.89% ( -0.09) |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.21% ( 0.14) | 20.79% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.56% ( 0.22) | 53.44% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugano | Draw | St Gallen |
| 2-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.33% 3-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.76% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.69% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 2.79% Total : 37.83% | 1-1 @ 10.71% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.55% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.73% | 1-2 @ 8.42% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.88% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.41% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.41% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.87% Total : 38.44% |
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