Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 47.95%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.65%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
St Gallen	Draw	Lugano
47.95% ( -0.04)	22.29% ( 0.05)	29.75% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 65.14% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.04% (

-0.29)

34.96% (

0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.06% (

-0.32)

56.94% (

0.32)

St Gallen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.94% (

-0.13)

15.05% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.44% (

-0.23)

43.55% (

0.23)

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.68% (

-0.16)

23.32% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.73% (

-0.23)

57.27% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

St Gallen 47.95%

Lugano 29.76%

Draw 22.29%

St Gallen	Draw	Lugano
2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.88% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.26% Total : 47.95%	1-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.29%	1-2 @ 7.04% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 29.76%