Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 47.95%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.65%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
Result | ||
St Gallen | Draw | Lugano |
47.95% ( -0.04) | 22.29% ( 0.05) | 29.75% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 65.14% ( -0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.04% ( -0.29) | 34.96% ( 0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.06% ( -0.32) | 56.94% ( 0.32) |
St Gallen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.94% ( -0.13) | 15.05% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.44% ( -0.23) | 43.55% ( 0.23) |
Lugano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.68% ( -0.16) | 23.32% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.73% ( -0.23) | 57.27% ( 0.22) |
Score Analysis |
St Gallen | Draw | Lugano |
2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.88% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.26% Total : 47.95% | 1-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.29% | 1-2 @ 7.04% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 29.76% |
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