SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 49.69%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 1-2 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luzern would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Luzern | Draw | FC Winterthur |
49.69% ( -0) | 23.89% ( 0.01) | 26.43% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.76% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.16% ( -0.06) | 44.84% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.8% ( -0.05) | 67.2% ( 0.06) |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.87% ( -0.02) | 18.13% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.91% ( -0.04) | 49.09% ( 0.04) |
| FC Winterthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.33% ( -0.04) | 30.67% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.08% ( -0.04) | 66.92% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luzern | Draw | FC Winterthur |
| 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.45% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.61% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.97% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0)Other @ 3.54% Total : 49.69% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.89% | 1-2 @ 6.63% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.88% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0)Other @ 2.97% Total : 26.43% |
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