Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 57.01%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 21.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a FC Winterthur win it was 1-2 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luzern would win this match.
-0) 
0) 
