SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 57.01%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 21.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a FC Winterthur win it was 1-2 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luzern would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Luzern | Draw | FC Winterthur |
57.01% ( -0) | 21.68% | 21.31% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 58.18% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.87% ( 0.01) | 40.13% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.5% ( 0) | 62.5% ( -0) |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.09% ( 0) | 13.91% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.66% ( 0) | 41.34% ( -0) |
| FC Winterthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.58% ( 0) | 32.42% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.06% ( 0) | 68.94% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luzern | Draw | FC Winterthur |
| 2-1 @ 9.88% 1-0 @ 8.89% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.77% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.5% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.77% 3-2 @ 3.66% 4-1 @ 3.21% 4-0 @ 2.85% 4-2 @ 1.81% 5-1 @ 1.27% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.29% Total : 57.01% | 1-1 @ 10.01% 2-2 @ 5.57% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.51% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.67% | 1-2 @ 5.64% 0-1 @ 5.08% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.86% 1-3 @ 2.12% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.09% 0-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.45% Total : 21.31% |
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