SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 46.66%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 2-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Winterthur | Draw | Luzern |
30% ( 0.15) | 23.34% ( 0.2) | 46.66% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 61.45% ( -0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.12% ( -0.88) | 39.87% ( 0.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.76% ( -0.91) | 62.23% ( 0.91) |
| FC Winterthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.38% ( -0.34) | 25.61% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.5% ( -0.47) | 60.5% ( 0.47) |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.6% ( -0.48) | 17.39% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.18% ( -0.83) | 47.81% ( 0.83) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Winterthur | Draw | Luzern |
| 2-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.45% Total : 30% | 1-1 @ 10.61% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.34% | 1-2 @ 9.28% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 5.41% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 2.37% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.98% Total : 46.66% |
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