SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 43.73%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 2-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Luzern in this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Winterthur | Draw | Luzern |
32.36% ( -0.18) | 23.91% ( 0.09) | 43.73% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 60.61% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.5% ( -0.49) | 41.5% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.1% ( -0.5) | 63.9% ( 0.5) |
| FC Winterthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.04% ( -0.34) | 24.95% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.41% ( -0.48) | 59.59% ( 0.48) |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.77% ( -0.16) | 19.23% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.06% ( -0.27) | 50.93% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Winterthur | Draw | Luzern |
| 2-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.65% Total : 32.36% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.91% | 1-2 @ 9.05% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 6.52% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 4.98% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 2.05% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.48% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.28% Total : 43.73% |
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