SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.06%). The likeliest Luzern win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Zurich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Luzern | Draw | FC Zurich |
36.51% ( 0.73) | 25.05% ( 0.06) | 38.44% ( -0.79) |
| Both teams to score 57.56% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.1% ( -0.22) | 45.9% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.79% ( -0.21) | 68.21% ( 0.21) |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.35% ( 0.31) | 24.64% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.83% ( 0.43) | 59.16% ( -0.43) |
| FC Zurich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.39% ( -0.5) | 23.61% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.31% ( -0.73) | 57.69% ( 0.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luzern | Draw | FC Zurich |
| 2-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 3.85% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.87% Total : 36.51% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.04% | 1-2 @ 8.49% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 4.09% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.07% Total : 38.44% |
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