SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for FC Zurich had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest FC Zurich win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luzern would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Luzern | Draw | FC Zurich |
42.27% ( 0.12) | 23.96% ( -0) | 33.77% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 60.96% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.74% ( -0.01) | 41.26% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.35% ( -0.01) | 63.65% ( 0.01) |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.23% ( 0.05) | 19.76% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.19% ( 0.08) | 51.81% ( -0.08) |
| FC Zurich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.98% ( -0.07) | 24.02% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.72% ( -0.1) | 58.27% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luzern | Draw | FC Zurich |
| 2-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.81% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.43% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.12% Total : 42.27% | 1-1 @ 10.97% 2-2 @ 6.35% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.75% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.95% | 1-2 @ 7.83% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 2.9% Total : 33.77% |
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