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Swiss Super League | Gameweek 17
Jan 21, 2023 at 5pm UK
Swissporarena
FZ

Luzern
2 - 2
FC Zurich

Meyer (62' pen.), Chader (83')
Jasari (4'), Beka (69'), Beloko (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Simic (89', 90+3')
Guerrero (39'), Conde (61'), Dzemaili (90+7')
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Luzern and FC Zurich.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Young Boys 3-0 Luzern
Sunday, November 13 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: FC Zurich 4-1 Servette
Sunday, November 13 at 1.15pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for FC Zurich had a probability of 37.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.59%) and 2-0 (5.35%). The likeliest FC Zurich win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
LuzernDrawFC Zurich
39.18% (0.593 0.59) 23.41% (-0.182 -0.18) 37.41% (-0.41200000000001 -0.41)
Both teams to score 63.74% (0.675 0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.07% (0.881 0.88)37.93% (-0.88200000000001 -0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.81% (0.933 0.93)60.18% (-0.935 -0.94)
Luzern Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.25% (0.658 0.66)19.75% (-0.659 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.22% (1.056 1.06)51.78% (-1.057 -1.06)
FC Zurich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.42% (0.19 0.19)20.58% (-0.191 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.88% (0.29799999999999 0.3)53.11% (-0.299 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Luzern 39.18%
    FC Zurich 37.41%
    Draw 23.41%
LuzernDrawFC Zurich
2-1 @ 8.45% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-0 @ 6.59% (-0.144 -0.14)
2-0 @ 5.35% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.57% (0.113 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.61% (0.11 0.11)
3-0 @ 2.89% (0.055 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.85% (0.083 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.47% (0.073 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.17% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 39.18%
1-1 @ 10.42% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 6.68% (0.069 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.06% (-0.175 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.9% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.41%
1-2 @ 8.24% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
0-1 @ 6.42% (-0.236 -0.24)
0-2 @ 5.08% (-0.156 -0.16)
1-3 @ 4.34% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.52% (0.057 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.68% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.72% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.39% (0.031 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 37.41%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Young Boys 3-0 Luzern
Sunday, November 13 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Luzern 0-2 Basel
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Luzern 1-1 Winterthur
Saturday, November 5 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Grasshopper 1-3 Luzern
Saturday, October 29 at 5pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Luzern 3-1 Lugano
Saturday, October 22 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Luzern 3-3 St Gallen
Wednesday, October 19 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: FC Zurich 4-1 Servette
Sunday, November 13 at 1.15pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Lugano 2-0 FC Zurich
Sunday, November 6 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Arsenal 1-0 FC Zurich
Thursday, November 3 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Sion 0-1 FC Zurich
Sunday, October 30 at 1.15pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: FC Zurich 2-1 Bodo/Glimt
Thursday, October 27 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: FC Zurich 1-4 Grasshopper
Sunday, October 23 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League


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