Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for FC Zurich had a probability of 37.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.59%) and 2-0 (5.35%). The likeliest FC Zurich win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Luzern | Draw | FC Zurich |
39.18% ( 0.59) | 23.41% ( -0.18) | 37.41% ( -0.41) |
Both teams to score 63.74% ( 0.67) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.07% ( 0.88) | 37.93% ( -0.88) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.81% ( 0.93) | 60.18% ( -0.94) |
Luzern Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.25% ( 0.66) | 19.75% ( -0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.22% ( 1.06) | 51.78% ( -1.06) |
FC Zurich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.42% ( 0.19) | 20.58% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.88% ( 0.3) | 53.11% ( -0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Luzern | Draw | FC Zurich |
2-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.22% Total : 39.18% | 1-1 @ 10.42% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.41% | 1-2 @ 8.24% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 6.42% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 4.34% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.72% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.97% Total : 37.41% |
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