SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 39.72%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Luzern | Draw | Hibernian |
39.72% ( 1.01) | 24.33% ( -0.29) | 35.95% ( -0.72) |
| Both teams to score 60.09% ( 0.97) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.4% ( 1.29) | 42.6% ( -1.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.99% ( 1.27) | 65% ( -1.28) |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.49% ( 1.06) | 21.51% ( -1.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.43% ( 1.61) | 54.57% ( -1.61) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.56% ( 0.2) | 23.43% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.56% ( 0.29) | 57.44% ( -0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luzern | Draw | Hibernian |
| 2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.2)2-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.42% ( 0.2)3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.13)4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.6% Total : 39.72% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.12)0-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.3)3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.33% | 1-2 @ 8.15% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.38)0-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.24)1-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.43% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.17% Total : 35.95% |
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