Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Machida Zelvia had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Machida Zelvia win was 1-0 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Machida Zelvia	Draw	Cerezo Osaka
32.81%	27.42% ( 0.01)	39.78% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 49.16% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.62% (

-0.05)

56.38% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.61% (

-0.04)

77.4% (

0.04)

Machida Zelvia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.99% (

-0.02)

32.01% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.53% (

-0.03)

68.47% (

0.03)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.3% (

-0.03)

27.71% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.74% (

-0.03)

63.27% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Machida Zelvia 32.8%

Cerezo Osaka 39.78%

Draw 27.41%

Machida Zelvia	Draw	Cerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.39% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.75% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.8% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.19% 3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 32.8%	1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( -0) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.41%	0-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.32% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.31% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.56% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.13% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 39.78%