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Segunda Division | Gameweek 14
Nov 9, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio La Rosaleda

Malaga
1 - 0
Cartagena

Monte (45+5')
Molina (33'), Baturina (83'), Gabilondo (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Teguia (18'), Vukcevic (23'), Guerrero (54')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Malaga and Cartagena.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union Estepona 3-2 Malaga
Thursday, October 31 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Cartagena 1-5 Deportivo
Saturday, November 2 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 46.54%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 22.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (7.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.78%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Malaga in this match.

Result
MalagaDrawCartagena
46.54% (0.364 0.36) 30.58% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07) 22.87% (-0.297 -0.3)
Both teams to score 35.94% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
29.93% (0.024000000000001 0.02)70.06% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
12.72% (0.016 0.02)87.27% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Malaga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.26% (0.211 0.21)30.73% (-0.215 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33% (0.248 0.25)66.99% (-0.25500000000001 -0.26)
Cartagena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.88% (-0.287 -0.29)48.11% (0.282 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.68% (-0.21 -0.21)83.31% (0.205 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Malaga 46.54%
    Cartagena 22.86%
    Draw 30.57%
MalagaDrawCartagena
1-0 @ 17.44% (0.080000000000002 0.08)
2-0 @ 10.29% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 7.53% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.05% (0.067 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.96% (0.025 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.19% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 46.54%
0-0 @ 14.78% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-1 @ 12.76% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 2.75% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 30.57%
0-1 @ 10.81% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-2 @ 4.67% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.96% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.14% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 22.86%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Union Estepona 3-2 Malaga
Thursday, October 31 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Malaga 1-0 Eibar
Sunday, October 27 at 1pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Tenerife 0-0 Malaga
Thursday, October 24 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Malaga 0-0 Real Oviedo
Saturday, October 19 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Cadiz 2-2 Malaga
Saturday, October 12 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Deportivo 0-0 Malaga
Sunday, October 6 at 1pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Cartagena 1-5 Deportivo
Saturday, November 2 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Beasain 0-1 Cartagena
Wednesday, October 30 at 6.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Mirandes 3-1 Cartagena
Saturday, October 26 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Cartagena 0-0 Elche
Wednesday, October 23 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Cordoba 2-1 Cartagena
Friday, October 18 at 7.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Cartagena 0-1 Racing de Ferrol
Saturday, October 12 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division


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