SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 37.65%. A win for Malaga had a probability of 33.01% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.58%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Malaga win was 0-1 (11.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tenerife | Draw | Malaga |
37.65% ( 0.63) | 29.34% ( -0.18) | 33.01% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 43.73% ( 0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.88% ( 0.54) | 63.12% ( -0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.45% ( 0.39) | 82.55% ( -0.39) |
| Tenerife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.7% ( 0.68) | 32.3% ( -0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.2% ( 0.76) | 68.8% ( -0.76) |
| Malaga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.6% ( -0.03) | 35.4% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.84% ( -0.03) | 72.16% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tenerife | Draw | Malaga |
| 1-0 @ 12.92% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.75% Total : 37.65% | 1-1 @ 13.41% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 11.43% ( -0.23)2-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.55% Total : 29.33% | 0-1 @ 11.87% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 6.97% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.09% Total : 33% |
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