Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 48.91%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 24.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (8.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cartagena would win this match.
Result | ||
Cartagena | Draw | Malaga |
48.91% ( 0.37) | 26.41% ( -0.18) | 24.67% ( -0.19) |
Both teams to score 47.41% ( 0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.66% ( 0.52) | 56.34% ( -0.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.63% ( 0.41) | 77.36% ( -0.42) |
Cartagena Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.91% ( 0.39) | 23.09% ( -0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.07% ( 0.57) | 56.93% ( -0.57) |
Malaga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.64% ( 0.12) | 38.35% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.89% ( 0.11) | 75.11% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Cartagena | Draw | Malaga |
1-0 @ 12.97% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.46% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.73% Total : 48.91% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.4% | 0-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.9% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.56% Total : 24.68% |
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