Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 48.91%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 24.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (8.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cartagena would win this match.

Result
Cartagena	Draw	Malaga
48.91% ( 0.37)	26.41% ( -0.18)	24.67% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 47.41% (

0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.66% (

0.52)

56.34% (

-0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.63% (

0.41)

77.36% (

-0.42)

Cartagena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.91% (

0.39)

23.09% (

-0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.07% (

0.57)

56.93% (

-0.57)

Malaga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.64% (

0.12)

38.35% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.89% (

0.11)

75.11% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Cartagena 48.91%

Malaga 24.68%

Draw 26.4%

Cartagena	Draw	Malaga
1-0 @ 12.97% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.46% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.73% Total : 48.91%	1-1 @ 12.43% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.4%	0-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.9% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.56% Total : 24.68%