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La Liga | Gameweek 18
Dec 21, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Iberostar Estadi
OL

Mallorca
3 - 2
Osasuna

Nastasic (12'), Rodriguez (53'), Raillo (62')
Raillo (28'), Maffeo (47'), Costa (79')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ibanez (7'), Garcia (90+1')
Avila (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Almeria 0-0 Mallorca
Sunday, December 17 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 1-0 Rayo Vallecano
Friday, December 15 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Mallorca 1-1 Osasuna

Only three goals have been scored across the last three meetings between Mallorca and Osasuna, and another closely-fought low-scoring contest could be on the cards on Thursday. The two teams will view this fixture as a good opportunity to claim maximum points in their quest to climb into the top 10, but considering that there is little separate both sides, we believe that the spoils will be shared on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 42.42%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 27.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.71%) and 2-1 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.26%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.

Result
MallorcaDrawOsasuna
42.42% (0.22 0.22) 29.65% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 27.93% (-0.193 -0.19)
Both teams to score 41.29% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.73% (0.016999999999996 0.02)65.27% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.92% (0.013 0.01)84.08% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Mallorca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.45% (0.136 0.14)30.55% (-0.136 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.22% (0.16 0.16)66.78% (-0.161 -0.16)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.46% (-0.153 -0.15)40.54% (0.15 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.85% (-0.137 -0.14)77.14% (0.136 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Mallorca 42.42%
    Osasuna 27.92%
    Draw 29.64%
MallorcaDrawOsasuna
1-0 @ 14.68% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.71% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
2-1 @ 7.86% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.44% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.11% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.02% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.92% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 42.42%
1-1 @ 13.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 12.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.55% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 29.64%
0-1 @ 11.18% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.99% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.05% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.8% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.52% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.07% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 27.92%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Almeria 0-0 Mallorca
Sunday, December 17 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Mallorca 1-0 Sevilla
Saturday, December 9 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valle Egues 0-3 Mallorca
Wednesday, December 6 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Mallorca 0-0 Alaves
Sunday, December 3 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Mallorca 1-1 Cadiz
Wednesday, November 29 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 1-0 Mallorca
Saturday, November 25 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 1-0 Rayo Vallecano
Friday, December 15 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Cadiz 1-1 Osasuna
Sunday, December 10 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 1-1 Real Sociedad
Saturday, December 2 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 3-1 Osasuna
Sunday, November 26 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 1-1 Las Palmas
Saturday, November 11 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 2-4 Girona
Saturday, November 4 at 1pm in La Liga


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