Osasuna's poor form may play a factor in this result, with Mallorca boosted from their win last time out and encouraged that they can secure their top-fight status with a win, granted other results also need to go their way.
The visitors' defensive record is not strong which suggests that Osasuna will get on the scoresheet, but Mallorca will be determined to take maximum points from this fixture.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 50.23%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 24.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.
0.21) 
-0.26) 
