SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 70.22%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Elfsborg had a probability of 11.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Elfsborg win it was 0-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Malmo | Draw | Elfsborg |
70.22% ( 0.14) | 17.82% ( -0.06) | 11.96% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 50.26% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.84% ( 0.07) | 40.16% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.47% ( 0.06) | 62.53% ( -0.07) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.74% ( 0.05) | 10.26% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.37% ( 0.12) | 33.63% ( -0.12) |
| Elfsborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.01% ( -0.1) | 43.99% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.88% ( -0.08) | 80.12% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malmo | Draw | Elfsborg |
| 2-0 @ 11.7% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 10.27% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 7.29% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 4.15% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.7% ( 0)Other @ 4.37% Total : 70.21% | 1-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.92% Total : 17.82% | 0-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.23% Total : 11.96% |
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