Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 57.88%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Elfsborg had a probability of 20.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Elfsborg win it was 1-2 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.