SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 68.54%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for GAIS had a probability of 13.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 1-0 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.27%), while for a GAIS win it was 1-2 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Malmo | Draw | GAIS |
68.54% ( 0.27) | 17.88% ( -0.02) | 13.59% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 55.27% ( -0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.81% ( -0.52) | 36.19% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.7% ( -0.57) | 58.3% ( 0.57) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.39% ( -0.07) | 9.61% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.89% ( -0.18) | 32.12% ( 0.18) |
| GAIS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.14% ( -0.69) | 38.86% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.41% ( -0.65) | 75.59% ( 0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malmo | Draw | GAIS |
| 2-0 @ 10.24% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0)1-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 8% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.27% Total : 68.53% | 1-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.17% Total : 17.88% | 1-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.81% Total : 13.59% |
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