SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.41%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City | Draw | Inter Milan |
43.97% ( -1.1) | 23.49% ( 0.04) | 32.53% ( 1.07) |
| Both teams to score 62.23% ( 0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.6% ( 0.27) | 39.4% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.25% ( 0.28) | 61.74% ( -0.28) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.72% ( -0.34) | 18.28% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.66% ( -0.58) | 49.34% ( 0.58) |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.15% ( 0.76) | 23.85% ( -0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.97% ( 1.08) | 58.03% ( -1.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City | Draw | Inter Milan |
| 2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.18)2-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.22)3-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 3.66% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.66% Total : 43.97% | 1-1 @ 10.61% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.48% | 1-2 @ 7.61% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 3.64% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.92% Total : 32.53% |
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