SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 63.03%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 18.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.95%) and 3-1 (7.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.11%), while for a Ipswich Town win it was 1-2 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City | Draw | Ipswich Town |
63.03% ( 0.01) | 18.82% | 18.15% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 63.14% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.77% ( -0) | 31.23% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.34% ( -0) | 52.66% ( 0.01) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.46% ( 0) | 9.54% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.04% ( 0) | 31.96% ( 0) |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.8% ( -0.01) | 30.2% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.64% ( -0.01) | 66.36% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City | Draw | Ipswich Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.95% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.46% 1-0 @ 6.77% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.23% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.47% ( -0)4-1 @ 4.38% 4-0 @ 3.66% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.62% 5-1 @ 2.06% 5-0 @ 1.72% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.23% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.91% Total : 63.03% | 1-1 @ 8.11% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.88% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 0.35% Total : 18.82% | 1-2 @ 4.85% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.45% 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.07% 1-3 @ 1.94% ( -0)Other @ 3.57% Total : 18.15% |
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