SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City win with a probability of 57.55%. A win for Manchester United has a probability of 23.32% and a draw has a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (7%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Manchester United win is 1-2 (5.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (7.22%).
| Result | ||
| Manchester City | Draw | Manchester United |
57.55% ( 31.73) | 19.13% ( -0.58) | 23.32% ( -31.15) |
| Both teams to score 70.87% ( -0.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.96% ( 0.17) | 25.03% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.04% ( 0.23) | 44.96% ( -0.22) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.02% ( 11.64) | 8.98% ( -11.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.38% ( 22.54) | 30.62% ( -22.54) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.86% ( -12.38) | 22.14% ( 12.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.48% ( -23.06) | 55.52% ( 23.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City | Draw | Manchester United |
| 2-1 @ 8.71% ( 2.87) 3-1 @ 7% ( 3.92)2-0 @ 5.77% ( 3.27)3-2 @ 5.27% ( 1.7)1-0 @ 4.79% ( 1.62)3-0 @ 4.64% ( 3.32)4-1 @ 4.22% ( 3)4-2 @ 3.18% ( 1.77)4-0 @ 2.8% ( 2.27)5-1 @ 2.03% ( 1.65)4-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.5)5-2 @ 1.53% ( 1.09)5-0 @ 1.35% ( 1.18)Other @ 4.68% Total : 57.55% | 1-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.23)3-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.12)0-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.7% Total : 19.13% | 1-2 @ 5.45% ( -3.15) 2-3 @ 3.3% ( -1.97)0-1 @ 3% ( -1.68)1-3 @ 2.74% ( -3.93)0-2 @ 2.26% ( -3.19)2-4 @ 1.24% ( -1.82)0-3 @ 1.14% ( -3.09)1-4 @ 1.03% ( -2.85)3-4 @ 1% ( -0.62)Other @ 2.17% Total : 23.32% |
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