SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 45.36%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.58%) and 0-1 (5.51%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea | Draw | Manchester City |
32.82% ( -2.9) | 21.83% ( -0.14) | 45.36% ( 3.04) |
| Both teams to score 68.69% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.99% ( -0.19) | 31.01% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.6% ( -0.23) | 52.4% ( 0.23) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.3% ( -1.49) | 19.7% ( 1.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.3% ( -2.48) | 51.7% ( 2.48) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.54% ( 1.02) | 14.46% ( -1.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.58% ( 1.93) | 42.42% ( -1.93) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea | Draw | Manchester City |
| 2-1 @ 7.27% ( -0.36) 1-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 3.94% ( -0.39)3-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.23)2-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.33)3-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.29)4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.25)4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.18)4-3 @ 1% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.24% Total : 32.82% | 1-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 7.03% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.55% Total : 21.83% | 1-2 @ 8.65% ( 0.3) 1-3 @ 5.58% ( 0.38)0-1 @ 5.51% ( 0.25)0-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.42)2-3 @ 4.53% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.38)1-4 @ 2.7% ( 0.27)2-4 @ 2.19% ( 0.13)0-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.24)3-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.04% ( 0.14)Other @ 3.55% Total : 45.36% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
