SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool Under-21s win with a probability of 46.21%. A win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 33.17% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.71%) and 2-3 (5.14%). The likeliest Manchester United Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United Under-21s | Draw | Liverpool Under-21s |
33.17% ( 0.09) | 20.61% ( 0.1) | 46.21% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 73.65% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.29% ( -0.47) | 24.7% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.47% ( -0.62) | 44.52% ( 0.62) |
| Manchester United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.49% ( -0.19) | 16.5% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.76% ( -0.34) | 46.23% ( 0.34) |
| Liverpool Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.21% ( -0.23) | 11.78% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.01% ( -0.5) | 36.98% ( 0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United Under-21s | Draw | Liverpool Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.05% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.31% Total : 33.17% | 1-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 7.22% ( 0)3-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.87% Total : 20.61% | 1-2 @ 8.01% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 5.71% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 5.14% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.06)0-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 3.05% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 2.75% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 1.31% ( -0.03)2-5 @ 1.18% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.94% Total : 46.21% |
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