SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 48.07%. A win for Norwich City Under-21s had a probability of 31.27% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.95%) and 3-2 (5.1%). The likeliest Norwich City Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City Under-21s | Draw | Norwich City Under-21s |
48.07% ( -0.17) | 20.66% ( 0.07) | 31.27% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 72.45% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.13% ( -0.32) | 25.87% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.96% ( -0.41) | 46.04% ( 0.41) |
| Manchester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.32% ( -0.17) | 11.68% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.25% ( -0.36) | 36.75% ( 0.36) |
| Norwich City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.03% ( -0.11) | 17.97% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.18% ( -0.19) | 48.81% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City Under-21s | Draw | Norwich City Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.46% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)Other @ 4% Total : 48.07% | 1-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 7.13% 3-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.78% Total : 20.66% | 1-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 4.08% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.8% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 3.6% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.63% 3-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.66% Total : 31.27% |
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