Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 82.36%. A draw had a probability of 11.2% and a win for Leicester Women had a probability of 6.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 3-1 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.01%), while for a Leicester Women win it was 1-2 (2.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Manchester City Women in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester City Women.
Result | ||
Manchester City Women | Draw | Leicester Women |
82.36% ( -0.03) | 11.18% ( 0.02) | 6.46% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 52.9% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.87% ( -0.13) | 25.13% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
54.92% ( -0.17) | 45.08% ( 0.17) |
Manchester City Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.51% ( -0.03) | 4.48% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
81.6% ( -0.09) | 18.4% ( 0.09) |
Leicester Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.38% ( -0.11) | 44.62% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.37% ( -0.08) | 80.63% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Manchester City Women | Draw | Leicester Women |
3-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.64% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 8.05% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 7-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 5.07% Total : 82.36% | 1-1 @ 5.01% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.03% Total : 11.18% | 1-2 @ 2.02% ( 0) 0-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 6.46% |
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