SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 45.66%. A win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 31.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.18%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Manchester City Women win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
45.66% ( -0.05) | 23.06% ( -0.14) | 31.28% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 63.22% ( 0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.13% ( 0.77) | 37.87% ( -0.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.88% ( 0.82) | 60.12% ( -0.81) |
| Manchester United Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83% ( 0.29) | 17% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.88% ( 0.5) | 47.12% ( -0.49) |
| Manchester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.16% ( 0.49) | 23.84% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.98% ( 0.7) | 58.02% ( -0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
| 2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.2)2-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0)Other @ 4.22% Total : 45.66% | 1-1 @ 10.29% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 6.54% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.06% | 1-2 @ 7.38% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.89% Total : 31.28% |
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