SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 43.26%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Stevenage |
43.26% ( 0.65) | 25.28% ( -0.3) | 31.45% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 55.47% ( 0.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.94% ( 1.18) | 48.05% ( -1.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.78% ( 1.07) | 70.22% ( -1.07) |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.83% ( 0.82) | 22.16% ( -0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.43% ( 1.22) | 55.56% ( -1.22) |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.26% ( 0.36) | 28.73% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.43% ( 0.44) | 64.56% ( -0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Stevenage |
| 1-0 @ 9.59% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 7.23% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.31% Total : 43.26% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.32)2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.27% | 0-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 7.46% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.62% Total : 31.45% |
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