SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 58.21%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Koper had a probability of 20.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Koper win it was 1-2 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maribor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maribor | Draw | Koper |
58.21% ( 1.24) | 21.73% ( -0.61) | 20.06% ( -0.63) |
| Both teams to score 55.97% ( 1.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.88% ( 1.87) | 42.12% ( -1.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.47% ( 1.85) | 64.52% ( -1.85) |
| Maribor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.81% ( 1.03) | 14.19% ( -1.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.1% ( 1.97) | 41.9% ( -1.97) |
| Koper Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.23% ( 0.44) | 34.77% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.5% ( 0.47) | 71.5% ( -0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maribor | Draw | Koper |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.63% ( -0.45)2-0 @ 9.41% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.25)3-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.23)4-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.18)4-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.14)5-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.13)5-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.11)Other @ 3.02% Total : 58.21% | 1-1 @ 10.17% ( -0.36) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.43)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.73% | 1-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 5.21% ( -0.38)0-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.05)Other @ 2% Total : 20.06% |
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