SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 47.69%. A win for Rogaska had a probability of 27.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Rogaska win was 1-0 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rogaska | Draw | Maribor |
27.45% ( 0.2) | 24.85% ( 0.07) | 47.69% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 54.45% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.71% ( -0.19) | 48.28% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.57% ( -0.17) | 70.43% ( 0.16) |
| Rogaska Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.31% ( 0.06) | 31.69% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.89% ( 0.06) | 68.1% ( -0.08) |
| Maribor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.71% ( -0.2) | 20.28% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.35% ( -0.31) | 52.64% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rogaska | Draw | Maribor |
| 1-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 2.59% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.76% Total : 27.45% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.84% | 0-1 @ 10.25% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.4% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 8.18% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 5% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 4.35% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.77% Total : 47.69% |
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