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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 36.72%. A win for Marine AFC had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.83%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Marine AFC win was 1-0 (11.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Marine AFC | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
35.26% ( 2.87) | 28.02% ( 0.46) | 36.72% ( -3.33) |
| Both teams to score 47.71% ( -0.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.65% ( -1.34) | 58.35% ( 1.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.04% ( -1.06) | 78.96% ( 1.06) |
| Marine AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.62% ( 1.24) | 31.38% ( -1.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.25% ( 1.41) | 67.75% ( -1.41) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.54% ( -2.61) | 30.46% ( 2.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.32% ( -3.22) | 66.68% ( 3.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Marine AFC | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
| 1-0 @ 11.08% ( 0.91) 2-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.34)2-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.72)3-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.23)3-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.35)3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.95% Total : 35.26% | 1-1 @ 13.17% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.48)2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.76% Total : 28.02% | 0-1 @ 11.36% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 7.83% ( -0.49)0-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.67)1-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.44)0-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.49)2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.19)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.21)Other @ 2.27% Total : 36.71% |
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