Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
Buxton	Draw	Curzon Ashton
40.7% ( 0.03)	26.87% ( 0.06)	32.43% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 50.73% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.66% (

-0.25)

54.33% (

0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.28% (

-0.21)

75.72% (

0.21)

Buxton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.75% (

-0.1)

26.24% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.65% (

-0.14)

61.35% (

0.13)

Curzon Ashton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.78% (

-0.18)

31.22% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.43% (

-0.22)

67.56% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Buxton 40.7%

Curzon Ashton 32.43%

Draw 26.86%

Buxton	Draw	Curzon Ashton
1-0 @ 10.96% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.27% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 2.21% Total : 40.7%	1-1 @ 12.75% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.86%	0-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.43% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.55% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.95% Total : 32.43%