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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Marine AFC had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Marine AFC win was 1-0 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Marine AFC | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
31.02% ( -6.32) | 27.51% ( 0.14) | 41.46% ( 6.19) |
| Both teams to score 48.32% ( -1.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.83% ( -1.27) | 57.17% ( 1.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.97% ( -1.02) | 78.03% ( 1.02) |
| Marine AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.33% ( -4.79) | 33.67% ( 4.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.68% ( -5.58) | 70.32% ( 5.58) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.85% ( 3) | 27.14% ( -3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.46% ( 3.75) | 62.54% ( -3.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Marine AFC | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.95% ( -0.86) 2-1 @ 7.06% ( -0.99)2-0 @ 5.42% ( -1.3)3-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.77)3-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.82)3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.33)Other @ 2.4% Total : 31.02% | 1-1 @ 12.97% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.44)2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.22)Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.51% | 0-1 @ 11.91% ( 1.48) 1-2 @ 8.46% ( 0.68)0-2 @ 7.77% ( 1.51)1-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.57)0-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.88)2-3 @ 2% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.27)0-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.35)Other @ 1.96% Total : 41.45% |
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