Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 51.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 24.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Spennymoor Town win it was 1-0 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
-0) 
0) 
