SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Chorley |
38.64% ( -0.07) | 26.34% ( -0.01) | 35.03% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 52.98% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.28% ( 0.05) | 51.72% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.51% ( 0.05) | 73.49% ( -0.04) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.84% ( -0.01) | 26.16% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.76% ( -0.02) | 61.24% ( 0.02) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.74% ( 0.07) | 28.26% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.03% ( 0.09) | 63.97% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Chorley |
| 1-0 @ 9.91% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.76% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0)4-0 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.32% Total : 38.64% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 9.34% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.92% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.75% Total : 35.03% |
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